Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano NavoneMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#19ATP
1903ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.0MYTD
$3.5MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 1st on
#44ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLL
Vacherot V.
6-1 3-6 3-6
Navone M.
Vacherot V.
6331
Navone M.
1662

Mariano Navone defeated Valentin Vacherot in the Round of 64 of the Montreal hard-court tournament, 1-6, 6-3, 6-3. Navone hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Vacherot hit 7 aces and 4 double faults. Navone converted 57% of break points and broke Vacherot's serve 4 times, compared to Vacherot's 3 service breaks and 43% break-point conversion rate.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersR64hardValentin Vacherot6-3 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
73%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
42%
Break points saved·Clear edge
68%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
69
49
Break points saved·Clear edge
96
77
Break points won·Dominant
33
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
95
17
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
66
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Vacherot V.72%
Navone M.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Vacherot V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+159 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1693
6.0Overall Elo 1903
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1822
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
94

Vacherot V.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Navone M.: 9 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 73%

Draw