Nicolas Mejia vs Lorenzo Musetti — Montreal Round of 64
COLQ
ITA11
Mejia N.
Lorenzo Musetti defeated Nicolas Mejia in the Round of 64 of the Montreal tournament, winning 7-6, 6-2 on hard courts. The match saw Musetti and Mejia hit an equal number of aces, three each, while Musetti committed one double fault to Mejia's three. Musetti converted 17% of break points and won two service breaks to Mejia's none.
Key context
- Match story: Lorenzo Musetti closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Musetti L. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMejia N.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 76 games (7d) · Musetti L.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About