Federica Urgesi vs Martha MatoulaW75 Koksijde Round of 16

W75 Koksijde · ITF · Round of 16
#282WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#302WTA
1400ELO
1399Clay ELO
29 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
Urgesi F.
3-6 2-6
Matoula M.
Urgesi F.
320
Matoula M.
662

Martha Matoula defeated Federica Urgesi 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the W75 Koksijde clay court tournament. Matoula converted 83% of her break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Urgesi's two, en route to the victory. Matoula won 65% of her first-serve points, while Urgesi won 50%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
50%
53%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
0.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Urgesi F.56%
Matoula M.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.7+132 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1399
6.8Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw