Matilde Paoletti vs Mariia MasiianskaiaW15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Round of 32

W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 · ITF · Round of 32
#1227WTA
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#1198WTA
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLLL
Paoletti M.
6-7 5-7
Masiianskaia M.
Paoletti M.
6550
Masiianskaia M.
7772

Mariia Masiianskaia defeated M. Paoletti 7-6, 7-5 in the Round of 32 at the W15 Kursumlijska Banja 12. Masiianskaia served five aces and converted all of her break points, while Paoletti had three double faults and converted two out of three break points. The two players had an equal number of service breaks, with two each.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
50%
52%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Service points won·Even
47%
46%
Return points won·Slight edge
56%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
42%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.3
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Paoletti M.60%
Masiianskaia M.40%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Paoletti M. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
1.82 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 25%

Draw