Alina Korneeva vs Emma NavarroToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#75WTA
1725ELO
1718Hard ELO
19 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#28WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$922kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Korneeva A.
6-2 6-2
Navarro E.
Korneeva A.
662
Navarro E.
220

Alexandra Korneeva defeated Emma Navarro in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 6-2 on hard courts. Korneeva hit 3 aces to Navarro's 0 and converted 67% of her break points, compared to Navarro's 29%. Korneeva won 6 service breaks to Navarro's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.5
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Korneeva A.16%
Navarro E.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Navarro E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.66 of last 8 on hard
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
80

Korneeva A.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Navarro E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw