Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur RinderknechMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#66ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 2nd on
#28ATP
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
$855kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
31 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWLWWL
Kecmanovic M.
7-6 4-6 4-6
Rinderknech A.
Kecmanovic M.
77441
Rinderknech A.
65662

Arthur Rinderknech defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-7, 6-4, 6-4 on hard courts. Rinderknech hit 21 aces to Kecmanovic's 3 and converted 36% of break points to Kecmanovic's 14%. Rinderknech won 4 service breaks to Kecmanovic's 2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-18GenevaR32clayArthur Rinderknech6-4 6-2
2021-08-30US OpenR128hardArthur Rinderknech6-7 3-6 7-5 6-3 6-4
2021-04-19BelgradeR16hardMiomir Kecmanovic6-3 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Even
34%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
12.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
28
45
Break points saved·Even
94
98
Break points won·Dominant
37
2
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
87
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
43
24

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Kecmanovic M.41%
Rinderknech A.59%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Rinderknech A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1709
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1768
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1780
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.96 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.75 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
73

Kecmanovic M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Rinderknech A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 36 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw