Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakina — Toronto Round of 64
KAZ2
Kasatkina D.
Elena Rybakina defeated Daria Kasatkina in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament, prevailing 6-3, 5-7, 6-4. Rybakina hit 15 aces and converted 31% of her break points, while Kasatkina recorded 3 aces and converted 27%. Rybakina won 4 service breaks to Kasatkina's 3 en route to the victory.
Key context
- Match story: Elena Rybakina closed it out in three sets, 6–3 5–7 6–4.
Head to head
2–3| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-05 | Abu Dhabi | F | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-1 6-4 |
| 2023-08-07 | Montreal | QF | hard | Elena Rybakina | 5-7 7-5 7-6 |
| 2022-08-01 | San Jose | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 1-6 6-2 6-0 |
| 2021-01-06 | Abu Dhabi | R16 | hard | Elena Rybakina | 6-3 6-4 |
| 2020-10-19 | Ostrava | R32 | hard | Daria Kasatkina | 6-2 3-6 6-3 |
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Rybakina E. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadKasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Rybakina E.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About