Mina Hodzic vs Matilde JorgeW75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
#300WTA
1382ELO
1367Hard ELO
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#272WTA
1449ELO
1442Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLL
Hodzic M.
6-1 7-6
Jorge M.
Hodzic M.
6772
Jorge M.
1640

Mina Hodzic defeated Matilde Jorge in the Round of 32 at the W75 Ourense tournament, winning 6-1, 7-6 on hard courts. Hodzic hit 5 aces to Jorge's 3 and converted 50% of her break points, compared to Jorge's 25%. Hodzic won 76% of her first-serve points to Jorge's 61%, and she broke Jorge's serve 4 times to Jorge's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Mina Hodzic came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–6.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
55%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
57%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Hodzic M.53%
Jorge M.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1367
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1382
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1448
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw