Akira Santillan vs Antoine GhibaudoIstanbul 2 Round of 16

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#290ATP
1367ELO
1343Hard ELO
29 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT A · 1st on
#341ATP
1475ELO
1402Hard ELO
21 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLLL
Santillan A.
4-6 1-6
Ghibaudo A.
Santillan A.
410
Ghibaudo A.
662

Antoine Ghibaudo defeated Akira Santillan in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 6-1 in favor of Ghibaudo.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
62%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
67%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.1
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Santillan A.53%
Ghibaudo A.47%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1342
Surface ELO
5.7+60 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1367
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1475
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
89

Santillan A.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Ghibaudo A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 32%

Draw