Maria Toma vs Xinyu GaoW75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
#817WTA
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#255WTA
1504ELO
1492Hard ELO
28 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWLWW
Toma M.
4-6 3-6
Gao X.
Toma M.
430
Gao X.
662

Xinyu Gao defeated Maria Toma in the Round of 32 at the W75 Ourense tournament, winning 6-4, 6-3 on hard courts. Gao hit two aces and one double fault, while Toma had no aces and four double faults. Gao converted 57% of her break points and broke Toma's serve four times, compared to Toma's one service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Xinyu Gao closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
70%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
51%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
0.7
1.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Toma M.7%
Gao X.93%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gao X. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
22°CMainly clear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw