Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor FritzMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#50ATP
1741ELO
1636Hard ELO
$730kYTD
$2.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 3rd on
#9ATP
1909ELO
1839Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$31MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Tirante T.
7-5 6-3
Fritz T.
Tirante T.
762
Fritz T.
530

Thiago Agustin Tirante defeated Taylor Fritz in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 7-5, 6-3 on hard courts. Tirante hit 9 aces to Fritz's 4 and converted 50% of his break points, while Fritz did not convert any. Tirante won 96% of his first-serve points and broke Fritz's serve three times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
80%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
Return points won·Even
36%
33%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.4
15.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
77
Break points saved·Clear edge
75
99
Break points won·Clear edge
15
36
Deciding sets·Slight edge
91
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
12
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Tirante T.17%
Fritz T.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fritz T. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1636
Surface ELO
7.5+202 Hard Elo edge
2.9Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.1Overall Elo 1909
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.58 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
53
88

Tirante T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 93 games (7d) · Fritz T.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
28°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 51%

Draw