Viktor Durasovic vs Andrea Guerrieri — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
Viktor Durasovic
NOR
Viktor Durasovic
#457ATP
1320ELO
1329Hard ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 2nd on
ITA4
Andrea Guerrieri
#189ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Durasovic V.
4-6 6-4 2-6
Guerrieri A.
Durasovic V.
4621
Guerrieri A.
6462

Andrea Guerrieri advanced to the quarterfinals of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki tournament with a three-set win over Viktor Durasovic, 6-4, 4-6, 6-2. Guerrieri converted 67% of his break points, while Durasovic converted 15%. Guerrieri won 72% of his first-serve points, compared to 69% for Durasovic.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Durasovic V.Guerrieri A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
61%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Even
57%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.3
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Durasovic V.Guerrieri A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
6
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
69
80
Break points won·Dominant
1
40
Deciding sets·Dominant
11
84
Tiebreaks·
11
—

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Durasovic V.28%
Guerrieri A.72%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Guerrieri A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Durasovic V.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Guerrieri A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1329
Surface ELO
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
2.2Overall Elo 1320
ELO gap
7.8Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.93 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.67 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Durasovic V.Guerrieri A.
Freshness·Clear edge
73
55

Durasovic V.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 48 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw