Kayla Day vs Coco Gauff — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
USAQ
Kayla Day
#121WTA
1595ELO
1576Hard ELO
26 yrs · 173 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Coco Gauff
USA4
Coco Gauff
#4WTA
2071ELO
2035Hard ELO
$4.1MYTD
$34MCAREER
22 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWWW
Day K.
2-6 5-7
Gauff C.
Day K.
250
Gauff C.
672

Coco Gauff defeated Kayla Day in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 7-5 on hard courts. Gauff served 4 aces and committed 9 double faults, while converting 46% of her break points and winning 70% of her first-serve points. In the match, Gauff broke Day's serve 6 times, while Day broke Gauff's serve 3 times.

Key context

  • Match story: Coco Gauff closed it out in two sets, 6–2 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Day K.Gauff C.
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
42%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.4
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
6.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (44 vs 42). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Day K.Gauff C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
39
94
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
81
Break points won·Clear edge
88
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
18
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
67
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Day K.16%
Gauff C.84%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Gauff C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Day K.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Gauff C.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
0.0Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
10.0+459 Hard Elo edge
0.0Overall Elo 1595
ELO gap
10.0Overall Elo 2071
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.56 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.78 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Day K.Gauff C.
Freshness·Slight edge
70
64

Day K.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d) · Gauff C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 73 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw