Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick HanfmannMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.2MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 5th on
#55ATP
1781ELO
1721Hard ELO
$608kYTD
$4.5MCAREER
34 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
Cobolli F.
6-7 6-7
Hanfmann Y.
Cobolli F.
65620
Hanfmann Y.
77772

Yannick Hanfmann defeated Flavio Cobolli in the Round of 64 of the Montreal tournament on hard courts, winning in straight sets 7-6, 7-6. Hanfmann hit 3 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 33% of break points and winning 67% of first-serve points. Cobolli recorded 7 aces and 4 double faults, converting 40% of break points and winning 59% of first-serve points; both players secured 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
55%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
8.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
74
46
Break points saved·Slight edge
95
90
Break points won·Dominant
38
5
Deciding sets·Even
99
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
90
23

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Cobolli F.64%
Hanfmann Y.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cobolli F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.1+89 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.9Hard Elo 1721
6.4Overall Elo 1896
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1781
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.76 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
62
79

Cobolli F.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 60 games (7d) · Hanfmann Y.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 72%

Draw