Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander DonskiGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#240ATP
1526ELO
1519Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 1st on
#502ATP
1428ELO
1443Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
Moro Canas A.
4-6 6-7
Donski A.
Moro Canas A.
4650
Donski A.
6772

Alexander Donski defeated Alejandro Moro Canas 6-4, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Donski hit 7 aces to Moro Canas' 3 and converted 50% of his break points, while Moro Canas did not convert any. Donski won 93% of his first-serve points to Moro Canas' 70%, and he secured the win with one service break to Moro Canas' none.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
52%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.7
8.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.9
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Moro Canas A.75%
Donski A.25%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Moro Canas A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+76 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1443
6.2Overall Elo 1526
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1428
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.99 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
80
76

Moro Canas A.: played today · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Donski A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw