Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norrie — Montreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
Ignacio Buse
PER29
Ignacio Buse
#36ATP
1822ELO
1662Hard ELO
$949kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 2nd on
Cameron Norrie
GBR
Cameron Norrie
#35ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWWW
Buse I.
3-6 3-6
Norrie C.
Buse I.
330
Norrie C.
662

Cameron Norrie defeated Ignacio Buse in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-3, 6-3 on hard courts. Norrie hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, while converting 36% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. Norrie broke Buse's serve 4 times, compared to Buse's 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Buse I.Norrie C.
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
64%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.7
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Buse I.Norrie C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
63
88
Break points saved·Slight edge
87
98
Break points won·Dominant
28
84
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
97
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Buse I.44%
Norrie C.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Buse I.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Norrie C.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1662
Surface ELO
6.6+127 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1829
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Buse I.Norrie C.
Freshness·Clear edge
90
71

Buse I.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Norrie C.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw