Jenson Brooksby vs Ben SheltonMontreal Round of 64

Montreal · ATP · Round of 64
#74ATP
1694ELO
1682Hard ELO
$546kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 2nd on
#6ATP
1960ELO
1922Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$14MCAREER
23 yrs · 193 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWWL
Brooksby J.
3-6 5-7
Shelton B.
Brooksby J.
350
Shelton B.
672

Ben Shelton defeated Jenson Brooksby in the Round of 64 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-3, 7-5 on hard courts. Shelton served 3 aces to Brooksby's 1 and committed 4 double faults to Brooksby's none. Shelton converted 33% of break points, as did Brooksby, but won 3 service breaks to Brooksby's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Ben Shelton closed it out in two sets, 6–3 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
68%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
60%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
Return points won·Even
35%
31%
Break points saved·Clear edge
52%
74%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
11.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 35). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
87
79
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
100
Break points won·Dominant
82
47
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Brooksby J.23%
Shelton B.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shelton B. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.0Hard Elo 1682
Surface ELO
8.0+239 Hard Elo edge
1.7Overall Elo 1694
ELO gap
8.3Overall Elo 1960
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.47 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
93
72

Brooksby J.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d) · Shelton B.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw