Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz BerkietaGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 16

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#260ATP
1373ELO
1289Hard ELO
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#541ATP
1182ELO
1211Hard ELO
20 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWL
Ribecai M.
7-5 6-4
Berkieta T.
Ribecai M.
762
Berkieta T.
540

Michele Ribecai defeated Tomasz Berkieta 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Ribecai converted 50% of his break points and secured four service breaks, while Berkieta converted 22% of his break points and secured two service breaks. Ribecai hit three aces and one double fault, compared to Berkieta's nine aces and five double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
54%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
67%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
48%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.3
3.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Ribecai M.68%
Berkieta T.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ribecai M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1211
7.4Overall Elo 1373
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1182
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.72 of last 6 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
98

Ribecai M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Berkieta T.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
34°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 45%

Draw