Sloane Stephens vs Belinda BencicToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#240WTA
1683ELO
1630Hard ELO
33 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#12WTA
1989ELO
1952Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$17MCAREER
29 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWL
Stephens S.
3-6 1-6
Bencic B.
Stephens S.
310
Bencic B.
662

Belinda Bencic defeated Sloane Stephens in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-3, 6-1 on hard courts. Bencic hit 3 aces and 6 double faults, while Stephens had 1 ace and 1 double fault. Bencic converted 44% of her break points and won 76% of her first-serve points, taking 4 service breaks to Stephens' 0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-10-17Guadalajara 2R32hardSloane Stephens6-4 6-4
2015-03-23MiamiR16hardSloane Stephens6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
66%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Break points saved·Even
59%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.1
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
59
91
Break points saved·Dominant
26
84
Break points won·Slight edge
90
96
Deciding sets·Clear edge
79
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
76
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Stephens S.14%
Bencic B.86%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Bencic B. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.0Hard Elo 1630
Surface ELO
9.0+322 Hard Elo edge
1.2Overall Elo 1682
ELO gap
8.8Overall Elo 1989
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.97 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Surface transition
7.0Grass → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
86

Stephens S.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d) · Bencic B.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 9 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw