Daniil Ostapenkov vs Florent Bax — Istanbul 2 Round of 16
Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
1 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
FRA2#247ATP
1399ELO
1387Hard ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWLWW
Ostapenkov D.7-6 6-7 1-6
Bax F.
Ostapenkov D.
776611
Bax F.
647862
Florent Bax defeated Daniil Ostapenkov in the Round of 16 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-7, 7-6, 6-1 in favor of Bax.
Key context
- Match story: Florent Bax dropped the opening set before beating Daniil Ostapenkov 6–7 7–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
58%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
49%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.8
7.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.2
3.4
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCOstapenkov D.48%
Bax F.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form6.06 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·Even
93
91
Ostapenkov D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bax F.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 31%