Federico Arnaboldi vs L. PrimucciM25 Fano Round of 16

M25 Fano · ITF · Round of 16
#523ATP
1328ELO
1289Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
clay
#1178ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Arnaboldi F.
5-7 4-6
Primucci L.
Arnaboldi F.
540
Primucci L.
762

L. Primucci defeated Federico Arnaboldi 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Fano tournament on clay. Primucci hit one ace and one double fault, winning 76% of first-serve points and converting 57% of break points. Arnaboldi recorded two aces and four double faults, winning 69% of first-serve points and converting all two of his break point chances; he also had two service breaks to Primucci's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
58%
46%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
69%
56%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
51%
Return points won·Clear edge
42%
27%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
50%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Arnaboldi F.85%
Primucci L.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Arnaboldi F. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
94

Arnaboldi F.: 9 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
33°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 50%

Draw