Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina PliskovaToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#6WTA
2074ELO
1994Hard ELO
$5.6MYTD
$13MCAREER
19 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 5 August 2026 ·
hard
#57WTA
1869ELO
1811Hard ELO
34 yrs · 184 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWWWL
Andreeva M.
6-0 6-2
Pliskova K.
Andreeva M.
662
Pliskova K.
020

Mirra Andreeva defeated Karolina Pliskova 6-0, 6-2 in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. Andreeva hit 5 aces and did not commit a double fault, while Pliskova had 2 aces and 8 double faults. Andreeva converted 75% of her break points and won 6 service breaks to Pliskova's 1.

Around the match

  • I knew Karolina was a very tough opponent to have in the first match. Luckily my coach helped me a lot. She prepared me well for the match. So I'm very happy with the way I was playing today and I'm super happy to advance to the next round.

    Andreeva M.WTA Tennis

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardMirra Andreeva6-2 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
48%
43%
Service points won·Even
61%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
47%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.7
5.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (46 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
92
87
Break points saved·Even
83
86
Break points won·Slight edge
100
93
Deciding sets·Even
94
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
92
77

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Andreeva M.85%
Pliskova K.15%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Andreeva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.3+183 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.7Hard Elo 1811
7.6Overall Elo 2074
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1869
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
93

Andreeva M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 13 games (7d) · Pliskova K.: 4 days rest · 1 match, 14 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw