Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana ShnaiderToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#128WTA
1654ELO
1629Hard ELO
29 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#14WTA
1891ELO
1833Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.3MCAREER
22 yrs · 170 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWLW
Sramkova R.
2-6 6-4 1-6
Shnaider D.
Sramkova R.
2611
Shnaider D.
6462

Diana Shnaider defeated Rebecca Sramkova in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 on hard courts. Shnaider served 2 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 71% of her first-serve points. She won 4 service breaks to Sramkova's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Diana Shnaider came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–2 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2022-07-13W60+H RomeR32clayDiana Shnaider5-7 6-4 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
1.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
3.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
82
Break points saved·Dominant
28
63
Break points won·Clear edge
75
98
Deciding sets·Even
88
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
55
88

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTC
Sramkova R.25%
Shnaider D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shnaider D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1629
Surface ELO
7.5+204 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1654
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1891
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.86 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
76

Sramkova R.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d) · Shnaider D.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 62%

Draw