Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64

ROU

Elena Gabriela Ruse

#74WTA

1850ELO

1754Hard ELO

28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLLLWWW

0 — 2

Sets

Tuesday, 4 August 2026 · 15:20

hard

RUS24

Anastasia Potapova

#25WTA

1904ELO

1804Hard ELO

$1.3MYTD

$6.6MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LLLWLLLWLW

Gabriela Ruse E.

4-6 2-6

Potapova A.

Gabriela Ruse E.

420

Potapova A.

662

Anastasia Potapova defeated Elena Gabriela Ruse in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. Potapova won the match 6-4, 6-2. Potapova converted 67% of her break points and won four service breaks to Ruse's one.

Key context

Match story: Anastasia Potapova dropped just 6 games past Elena Gabriela Ruse.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season

Gabriela Ruse E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Gabriela Ruse E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.

Serve

Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season

Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.

1st serve in·Even

56%

58%

1st serve points won·Even

65%

66%

2nd serve points won·Even

48%

44%

Service points won·Even

57%

Return points won·Even

44%

45%

Break points saved·Slight edge

52%

61%

Aces / match·Slight edge

4.1

3.3

Double faults / match·Even

5.2

4.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure

Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.

Clutch Rating·Clear edge

Break points saved·Dominant

Break points won·Even

Deciding sets·Slight edge

Tiebreaks·Slight edge

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC

Gabriela Ruse E.36%

Potapova A.64%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Potapova A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gabriela Ruse E.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Potapova A.

6.3

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.4Hard Elo 1754

Surface ELO

5.6+50 Hard Elo edge

4.3Overall Elo 1850

ELO gap

5.7Overall Elo 1904

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

6.36 of last 10 on hard

Surface form

6.16 of last 10 on hard

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load

Gabriela Ruse E.Potapova A.

Freshness·Even

Gabriela Ruse E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 25 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 3 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed

Mediumbalanced pace

SlowFast

Weather

25°CClear

Wind 16 km/hHumidity 56%

Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Anastasia Potapova — Toronto Round of 64

Key context

Head to head

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard

Statistics

Clutch

Win Probability

Umpiry Score

Freshness

Conditions

Draw

Serve vs return

Serve & return on hard