Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Botic Van De ZandschulpMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#92ATP
1738ELO
1672Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$3.5MCAREER
23 yrs · 203 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 4 · 3rd on
#59ATP
1743ELO
1711Hard ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLWLW
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2-6 6-3 3-6
Van De Zandschulp B.
Mpetshi Perricard G.
2631
Van De Zandschulp B.
6362

Botic Van De Zandschulp defeated Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard in the Round of 128 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-2, 3-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Van De Zandschulp hit 3 aces and 8 double faults, converting 50% of break points and winning 75% of first-serve points. In contrast, Mpetshi Perricard had 13 aces and 6 double faults, converting 14% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-08-17Winston-SalemSFhardBotic Van De Zandschulp6-4 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
73%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
63%
Return points won·Slight edge
27%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
18.4
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
58
68
Break points saved·Even
97
93
Break points won·Dominant
10
51
Deciding sets·Slight edge
76
82
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
97
76

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Mpetshi Perricard G.43%
Van De Zandschulp B.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
5.5+39 Hard Elo edge
4.9Overall Elo 1738
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1743
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.64 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
94
75

Mpetshi Perricard G.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw