Pavlos Tsitsipas vs Dominik PalanM25+H Tauste Round of 32

M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
#1027ATP
21 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#504ATP
1214ELO
1201Hard ELO
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Tsitsipas P.
7-6 6-4
Palan D.
Tsitsipas P.
7762
Palan D.
6440

Pavlos Tsitsipas defeated Dominik Palan 7-6, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the M25+H Tauste tournament. Tsitsipas served more efficiently, winning 89% of his first-serve points to Palan's 76%, and converted 50% of his break points. Tsitsipas won the match despite being out-aced 6-5 and committing one more double fault than Palan.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
81%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
71%
Return points won·Even
34%
32%
Break points saved·Even
64%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.5
12.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.6
6.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Tsitsipas P.25%
Palan D.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Palan D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.81 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Palan D.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
34°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw