Tatjana Maria vs Caty Mcnally — Toronto Round of 128
GERQ
USA
Maria T.
Caty Mcnally defeated Tatjana Maria in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament. Mcnally won the match 4-6, 7-6, 6-1. Mcnally converted 54% of her break points and secured 7 service breaks to Maria's 6.
Key context
- Match story: Caty Mcnally dropped the opening set before beating Tatjana Maria 4–6 7–6 6–1.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Mcnally C. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadMaria T.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 35 games (7d) · Mcnally C.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About