Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas ManeiroToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
2070ELO
1997Hard ELO
$3.5MYTD
$30MCAREER
31 yrs · 174 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#90WTA
1721ELO
1664Hard ELO
$391kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWWL
Svitolina E.
6-7 7-6 6-4
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Svitolina E.
657762
Bouzas Maneiro J.
776441

Elina Svitolina defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament, prevailing 6-7, 7-6, 6-4. Svitolina hit 3 aces and 11 double faults, winning 59% of her first serves and converting 75% of her break points. She won 9 service breaks to 8 for Bouzas Maneiro.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-06RomeR64clayElina Svitolina6-4 7-6
2025-04-14RouenQFclayElina Svitolina6-3 6-2
2024-08-12CincinnatiR32hardElina Svitolina6-4 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
63%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.4
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
90
27
Break points saved·Dominant
83
4
Break points won·Slight edge
99
93
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
33
Tiebreaks·
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Svitolina E.77%
Bouzas Maneiro J.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Svitolina E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.2+334 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.8Hard Elo 1664
9.4Overall Elo 2070
ELO gap
0.6Overall Elo 1721
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
59
72

Svitolina E.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d) · Bouzas Maneiro J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 49 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 66%

Draw