Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael MonfilsMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#68ATP
1801ELO
1739Hard ELO
$617kYTD
$3.8MCAREER
30 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 5th on
#305ATP
1803ELO
1784Hard ELO
39 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWLWLW
Majchrzak K.
4-6 4-6
Monfils G.
Majchrzak K.
440
Monfils G.
662

Gael Monfils defeated Kamil Majchrzak in the Round of 128 of the Montreal hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-4. Monfils hit 8 aces to Majchrzak's 1 and won 84% of his first-serve points to his opponent's 50%. Monfils converted 44% of his break points and broke Majchrzak's serve 4 times, compared to 2 breaks for Majchrzak.

Around the match

  • This will be one of my final tournaments before retirement at the end of the season.

    Monfils G.Tennisnerd
  • Monfils is in his retirement season and prioritizing entertainment over winning, leaning into crowd-pleasing tactics even more during his farewell tour.

    Monfils G.New York Post

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

  • Match story: Gael Monfils edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
44%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
6.6
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.5
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
18
86
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Dominant
21
79
Deciding sets·Dominant
13
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
28
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 01:50 UTC
Majchrzak K.69%
Monfils G.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Majchrzak K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Hard Elo 1739
Surface ELO
5.6+44 Hard Elo edge
5.0Overall Elo 1801
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1803
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
2.82 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
92
87

Majchrzak K.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Monfils G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 78%

Draw