Aryan Shah vs L. LarueM25+H Tauste Round of 32

M25+H Tauste · ITF · Round of 32
#976ATP
1235ELO
1228Hard ELO
20 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#948ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLWLLL
Shah A.
4-6 6-2 6-3
Larue L.
Shah A.
4662
Larue L.
6231

Aryan Shah defeated L. Larue in the Round of 32 of the M25+H Tauste tournament on hard courts. Shah won the match 4-6, 6-2, 6-3. In the match, Shah hit one ace and committed five double faults, while Larue had 10 aces and 14 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Aryan Shah dropped the opening set before beating L. Larue 4–6 6–2 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
34%
39%
Break points saved·Even
52%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.9
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Shah A.70%
Larue L.30%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shah A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.92 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw