Niels Mcdonald vs Jerome KymHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#531ATP
1351ELO
1360Clay ELO
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
PLATZMANN CENTRE COURT · 4th on
#179ATP
1599ELO
1529Clay ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
Mcdonald N.
3-6 3-6
Kym J.
Mcdonald N.
330
Kym J.
662

Jerome Kym defeated Niels Mcdonald 6-3, 6-3 in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay. Kym hit 8 aces and 3 double faults, winning 74% of his first serves and converting 60% of break points. Kym secured 3 service breaks to Mcdonald's 0, advancing to the next round.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
63%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
60%
78%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
45%
50%
Service points won·Clear edge
55%
67%
Return points won·Even
33%
35%
Break points saved·Even
57%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.4
11.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Mcdonald N.25%
Kym J.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1360
Surface ELO
7.1+169 Clay Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1351
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1598
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
4.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
90

Mcdonald N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d) · Kym J.: 10 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw