Antonia Ruzic vs Madison Keys — Toronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
Antonia Ruzic
CRO
Antonia Ruzic
#61WTA
1739ELO
1717Hard ELO
$768kYTD
$1.4MCAREER
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Madison Keys
USA19
Madison Keys
#24WTA
1987ELO
1920Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$25MCAREER
31 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLLWWWW
Ruzic A.
1-6 2-6
Keys M.
Ruzic A.
120
Keys M.
662

Madison Keys defeated Antonia Ruzic in the Round of 64 at the Toronto tournament, winning 6-1, 6-2 on hard courts. Keys served 6 aces and committed 6 double faults, converting 36% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points. She converted 5 service breaks to Ruzic's 1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-28Roland GarrosR64clayMadison Keys4-6 4-6

Statistics

This season
Ruzic A.Keys M.
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
61%
Return points won·Even
43%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
3.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Ruzic A.Keys M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
82
89
Break points saved·Even
84
85
Break points won·Even
96
92
Deciding sets·Clear edge
82
94
Tiebreaks·
—
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Ruzic A.19%
Keys M.81%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Keys M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Ruzic A.
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Keys M.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Hard Elo 1717
Surface ELO
7.5+203 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1739
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1987
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Ruzic A.Keys M.
Freshness·Dominant
95
66

Ruzic A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Keys M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw