Michael Zheng vs Miomir KecmanovicMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#110ATP
1695ELO
1672Hard ELO
$310kYTD
$502kCAREER
22 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 2nd on
#66ATP
1768ELO
1709Hard ELO
$777kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWLLWW
Zheng M.
4-6 6-4 6-7
Kecmanovic M.
Zheng M.
46651
Kecmanovic M.
64772

Miomir Kecmanovic defeated Michael Zheng in the Round of 128 at the Montreal tournament, winning 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 on hard courts. Kecmanovic and Zheng were even in service breaks, with each player converting four. Kecmanovic hit five aces and eight double faults, while Zheng had seven aces and six double faults.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
63%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
60%
63%
Aces / match·Even
5.7
5.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Zheng M.58%
Kecmanovic M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Hard Elo 1672
Surface ELO
5.5+38 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1695
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1768
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.26 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
58
80

Zheng M.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 124 games (7d) · Kecmanovic M.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
18°CMainly clear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 80%

Draw