Xiyu Wang vs Daria KasatkinaToronto Round of 128

Toronto · WTA · Round of 128
#36WTA
1772ELO
1724Hard ELO
25 yrs · 182 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#68WTA
1795ELO
1757Hard ELO
29 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLWW
Wang X.
6-1 6-7 5-7
Kasatkina D.
Wang X.
66551
Kasatkina D.
17772

Daria Kasatkina defeated Xiyu Wang in the Round of 128 at the Toronto tournament, played on hard courts. The match ended with a score of 1-6, 7-6, 7-5 in favor of Kasatkina. Key stats included Kasatkina's 0 aces and 9 double faults compared to Wang's 2 aces and 8 double faults, with both players having a 60% first-serve win percentage.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2018-09-24WuhanR32hardDaria Kasatkina6-1 3-6 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
76%
70%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
59%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
53%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
53%
Return points won·Even
54%
50%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.4
2.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.3
6.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
4
53
Break points saved·Clear edge
40
21
Break points won·Dominant
33
100
Deciding sets·Dominant
8
91
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
5
16

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Wang X.50%
Kasatkina D.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1724
Surface ELO
5.4+34 Hard Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1772
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1795
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
7.28 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.26 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
71
87

Wang X.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Kasatkina D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw