Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Lia KaratanchevaWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#368WTA
1319ELO
1324Hard ELO
21 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 3rd on
#371WTA
1271ELO
1222Hard ELO
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWWW
Pawlikowska Z.
6-4 6-2
Karatancheva L.
Pawlikowska Z.
662
Karatancheva L.
420

Zuzanna Pawlikowska defeated Lia Karatancheva in the Round of 32 of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, winning 6-4, 6-2. Pawlikowska converted 80% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Karatancheva's 1. Pawlikowska committed 1 double fault and won 72% of her first-serve points, compared to 52% for Karatancheva.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
49%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
48%
47%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
48%
Aces / match·Even
1.1
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Pawlikowska Z.46%
Karatancheva L.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+102 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1222
5.6Overall Elo 1319
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1271
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
99
100

Pawlikowska Z.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Karatancheva L.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
33°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 34%

Draw