Anna Kalinskaya vs Mccartney KesslerToronto Round of 64

Toronto · WTA · Round of 64
#21WTA
1907ELO
1863Hard ELO
$1.5MYTD
$7.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#58WTA
1808ELO
1785Hard ELO
$742kYTD
$2.6MCAREER
27 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWLL
Kalinskaya A.
6-2 6-7 6-4
Kessler M.
Kalinskaya A.
66362
Kessler M.
27741

Anna Kalinskaya defeated Mccartney Kessler in the Round of 64 at the Toronto hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-2, 6-7, 6-4 in favor of Kalinskaya. Kalinskaya hit 7 aces and 12 double faults, while winning 66 percent of her first serves and converting 35 percent of break points; Kessler had 5 aces, 3 double faults, 60 percent first-serve wins, and 80 percent break-point conversions.

Key context

  • Match story: Anna Kalinskaya closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Even
51%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.6
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
51
Break points saved·Slight edge
38
30
Break points won·Slight edge
96
89
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
85
Tiebreaks·Dominant
99
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Kalinskaya A.61%
Kessler M.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Kalinskaya A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.0+78 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1784
6.2Overall Elo 1907
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1808
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.25 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
94

Kalinskaya A.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d) · Kessler M.: 5 days rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw