Ergi Kirkin vs Ilya Ivashka — Grodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
TURQ
Ergi Kirkin
#594ATP
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 13 · 3rd on
Ilya Ivashka
BLRQ
Ilya Ivashka
#374ATP
1538ELO
1509Hard ELO
32 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWWW
Kirkin E.
1-6 7-5 3-6
Ivashka I.
Kirkin E.
1731
Ivashka I.
6562

Ilya Ivashka defeated Ergi Kirkin in the Round of 32 of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Ivashka won the match 6-1, 5-7, 6-3. Ivashka hit 9 aces to Kirkin's 4 and converted 5 service breaks to Kirkin's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Ilya Ivashka came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 5–7 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kirkin E.Ivashka I.
1st serve in·Slight edge
54%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
42%
41%
Break points saved·Even
55%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.1
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kirkin E.Ivashka I.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
14
33
Break points saved·Dominant
35
87
Break points won·Clear edge
33
54
Deciding sets·Clear edge
43
30
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
6
13

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Kirkin E.40%
Ivashka I.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Ivashka I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kirkin E.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Ivashka I.
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
6.36 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kirkin E.Ivashka I.
Freshness·Slight edge
88
98

Kirkin E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Ivashka I.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw