Philip Henning vs Maks KasnikowskiGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#299ATP
1461ELO
1485Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 5th on
#234ATP
1400ELO
1369Hard ELO
23 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLLWW
Henning P.
3-6 4-6
Kasnikowski M.
Henning P.
340
Kasnikowski M.
662

Maks Kasnikowski defeated Philip Henning in the Round of 32 of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki tournament, winning 6-3, 6-4 on hard courts. Kasnikowski hit 9 aces to Henning's 3 and had an 81% first-serve win percentage, compared to Henning's 58%. Kasnikowski converted 43% of break points and won 3 service breaks to Henning's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
56%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
43%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
58%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Henning P.45%
Kasnikowski M.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+116 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1369
5.8Overall Elo 1461
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1400
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.48 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.87 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Henning P.: 15 days rest · Kasnikowski M.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 52%

Draw