Olle Wallin vs Andrea GuerrieriGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#415ATP
1300ELO
1278Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 13 · 2nd on
#189ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWL
Wallin O.
1-6 4-6
Guerrieri A.
Wallin O.
140
Guerrieri A.
662

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Olle Wallin in the Round of 32 of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Guerrieri won the match 6-1, 6-4. In the match, Guerrieri had 2 aces and 3 double faults, compared to Wallin's 3 aces and 5 double faults; Guerrieri converted 45% of break points, compared to Wallin's 17%.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
46%
Service points won·Even
62%
59%
Return points won·Even
48%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
48%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.2
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Wallin O.40%
Guerrieri A.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Guerrieri A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1278
Surface ELO
6.4+115 Hard Elo edge
1.9Overall Elo 1300
ELO gap
8.1Overall Elo 1545
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
81
54

Wallin O.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Guerrieri A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°CPartly cloudy
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw