Lorenzo Sonego vs Tallon GriekspoorMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#88ATP
1719ELO
1702Hard ELO
$448kYTD
$9.8MCAREER
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 2 · 3rd on
#56ATP
1789ELO
1777Hard ELO
$970kYTD
$8.1MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLLLW
Sonego L.
6-7 5-7
Griekspoor T.
Sonego L.
6550
Griekspoor T.
7772

Tallon Griekspoor defeated Lorenzo Sonego in the Round of 128 in Montreal. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 7-5 in Griekspoor's favor. Griekspoor served 5 aces and 3 double faults, won 76% of first-serve points, converted 33% of break points, and made 2 service breaks, compared to Sonego's 9 aces, 4 double faults, 72% on first serve, 50% break point conversion, and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-08-05Canada MastersR64hardLorenzo Sonego7-6 5-7 6-4
2022-10-31Paris MastersQ2hardLorenzo Sonego3-6 6-4 7-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
31%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.0
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.0
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
47
62
Break points saved·Even
97
98
Break points won·Slight edge
19
9
Deciding sets·Dominant
52
89
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
77
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Sonego L.47%
Griekspoor T.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.1Hard Elo 1702
Surface ELO
5.9+75 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1719
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1789
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
5.66 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.0Clay → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
80
88

Sonego L.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 37 games (7d) · Griekspoor T.: 9 days rest · 4 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw