Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy SachkoHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#195ATP
1420ELO
1355Clay ELO
$101kYTD
$1.1MCAREER
34 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
MARK E POWER COURT · 3rd on
#191ATP
1584ELO
1550Clay ELO
$158kYTD
$835kCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
Giustino L.
3-6 7-6 6-4
Sachko V.
Giustino L.
37762
Sachko V.
66341

Lorenzo Giustino defeated Vitaliy Sachko in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay, 3-6, 7-6, 6-4. Giustino hit 7 aces and 4 double faults, while Sachko had 3 aces and 7 double faults. Giustino won 3 service breaks to Sachko's 4, with both players converting around 43-44% of break points and winning 71% of first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
38%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
51
Break points saved·Dominant
32
81
Break points won·Dominant
9
48
Deciding sets·Dominant
10
76
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
10
19

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Giustino L.40%
Sachko V.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sachko V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1355
Surface ELO
7.4+195 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1420
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1584
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.45 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.66 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
88

Giustino L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 19 games (7d) · Sachko V.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 37%

Draw