Hubert Hurkacz vs Marcos GironMontreal Round of 128

Montreal · ATP · Round of 128
#69ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 2 · 1st on
#83ATP
1718ELO
1704Hard ELO
$500kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
33 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLWWLL
Hurkacz H.
7-5 4-6 6-2
Giron M.
Hurkacz H.
7462
Giron M.
5621

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Marcos Giron in the Round of 128 in Montreal. The match ended with a score of 7-5, 4-6, 6-2 in favor of Hurkacz. Hurkacz served 16 aces and converted 60 percent of his break points, while Giron converted 33 percent and had 2 aces.

Key context

  • Match story: Hubert Hurkacz closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

40
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR32clayHubert Hurkacz6-3 1-6 6-1
2024-09-25TokyoR32hardHubert Hurkacz6-4 6-7 6-4
2024-06-17HalleQFgrassHubert Hurkacz7-6 6-4
2021-06-28WimbledonR64grassHubert Hurkacz6-3 6-2 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
69%
66%
Return points won·Even
34%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
14.6
5.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
67
45
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Clear edge
16
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
92
31
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
95
84

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Hurkacz H.61%
Giron M.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Hurkacz H. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+22 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1704
6.0Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1718
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
0.71 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.0Grass → Hard
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
75
94

Hurkacz H.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 50 games (7d) · Giron M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
22°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 71%

Draw