Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas — Hagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
NED
Max Houkes
#242ATP
1460ELO
1444Clay ELO
26 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
SPARKASSEN PREMIUM COURT · 4th on
LTU4
Vilius Gaubas
#123ATP
1581ELO
1535Clay ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLLWLW
Houkes M.
2-6 6-4 6-4
Gaubas V.
Houkes M.
2662
Gaubas V.
6441

Max Houkes defeated Vilius Gaubas in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 2-6, 6-4, 6-4. Houkes hit 9 aces to Gaubas' 3 and won 73% of his first-serve points to Gaubas' 70%. Both players converted 29% and 40% of break points, respectively, and each won 2 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-03-24M25 Palmanova 2QFclayMax Houkes6-1 6-4

Statistics

This season
Houkes M.Gaubas V.
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
60%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
65%
Aces / match·Even
3.8
3.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Houkes M.Gaubas V.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
23
57
Break points saved·Clear edge
66
87
Break points won·Clear edge
29
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
34
86
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
16
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Houkes M.35%
Gaubas V.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Gaubas V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Houkes M.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Gaubas V.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Clay Elo 1444
Surface ELO
6.1+91 Clay Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1460
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1581
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
3.13 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Houkes M.Gaubas V.
Freshness·Clear edge
88
100

Houkes M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d) · Gaubas V.: 15 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw