Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarino — Montreal Round of 128
GBRQ
Fearnley J.
Jacob Fearnley defeated Adrian Mannarino in the Round of 128 in Montreal, winning 7-6, 6-4 on hard courts. Fearnley served 6 aces to Mannarino's 2 and won 79% of his first serves compared to Mannarino's 74%. Fearnley converted 44% of break points and made 7 double faults, while Mannarino converted 60% of break points and also made 7 double faults; Fearnley secured 4 service breaks to Mannarino's 3.
Key context
- Match story: Jacob Fearnley edged Adrian Mannarino in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 31). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFearnley J.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Mannarino A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About