Weronika Ewald vs Justina MikulskyteWarsaw Round of 32

Warsaw · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#413WTA
1387ELO
1312Hard ELO
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
CENTER COURT · 1st on
#237WTA
1357ELO
1315Hard ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWWWW
Ewald W.
6-7 2-6
Mikulskyte J.
Ewald W.
6320
Mikulskyte J.
7762

Justina Mikulskyte defeated Weronika Ewald in the Round of 32 of the Warsaw hard-court tournament, 7-6, 6-2. Mikulskyte hit 5 aces and committed 2 double faults, while Ewald had 2 aces and 8 double faults. Mikulskyte converted 80% of her break points and won 4 service breaks to Ewald's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
45%
Service points won·Even
53%
54%
Return points won·Even
46%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.9
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Ewald W.47%
Mikulskyte J.53%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1312
Surface ELO
5.0+4 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1387
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
94

Ewald W.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Mikulskyte J.: 12 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw