Denis Yevseyev vs Yanki ErelIstanbul 2 Round of 32

Istanbul 2 · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#444ATP
1375ELO
1373Hard ELO
33 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
#282ATP
25 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWLWW
Yevseyev D.
4-6 6-4 1-6
Erel Y.
Yevseyev D.
4611
Erel Y.
6462

Yanki Erel defeated Denis Yevseyev in the Round of 32 at the Istanbul 2 hard-court tournament. The match ended with a score of 6-4, 4-6, 6-1 in favor of Erel.

Key context

  • Match story: Yanki Erel came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 4–6 6–1.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
63%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
58%
62%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Even
54%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.2
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (29 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Yevseyev D.22%
Erel Y.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Erel Y. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.2
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
5.76 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.96 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
87
100

Yevseyev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Erel Y.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw