Moez Echargui vs Spencer JohnsonLexington Round of 32

Lexington · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#197ATP
1416ELO
1408Hard ELO
$171kYTD
$469kCAREER
33 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM 1 · 3rd on
#445ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Echargui M.
4-6 3-6
Johnson S.
Echargui M.
430
Johnson S.
662

Spencer Johnson defeated Moez Echargui in the Round of 32 at the Lexington hard-court tournament. Johnson won the match 6-4, 6-3, behind strong serving that included 8 aces and only 1 double fault. Johnson converted 40% of his break points and won 2 service breaks to Echargui's 0.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
68%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
67%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
9.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Echargui M.45%
Johnson S.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.36 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Country comfort
6.8Won 80% in Usa (50)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
91
92

Echargui M.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 30 games (7d) · Johnson S.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
31°CClear
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw