Alexander Donski vs Takuya KumasakaGrodzisk Mazowiecki Round of 32

Grodzisk Mazowiecki · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#502ATP
1428ELO
1443Hard ELO
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
COURT 12 · 2nd on
#556ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWLW
Donski A.
7-5 6-4
Kumasaka T.
Donski A.
762
Kumasaka T.
540

Alexander Donski defeated Takuya Kumasaka 7-5, 6-4 in the Round of 32 of the Grodzisk Mazowiecki hard-court tournament. Donski hit 12 aces to Kumasaka's 7 and converted 33% of break points to Kumasaka's 14%. Donski won 84% of first-serve points to Kumasaka's 76%, and he broke Kumasaka's serve 3 times to Kumasaka's 1.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
52%
57%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
75%
59%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
53%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
60%
56%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
2.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Donski A.44%
Kumasaka T.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.89 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.33 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
92

Donski A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 24 games (7d) · Kumasaka T.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 17 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
30°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw