Oceane Dodin vs Arantxa Rus — W75 Ourense Round of 32

W75 Ourense · ITF · Round of 32
Oceane Dodin
FRA
Oceane Dodin
#327WTA
1539ELO
1514Hard ELO
29 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
hard
Arantxa Rus
NED2
Arantxa Rus
#206WTA
1511ELO
1503Hard ELO
35 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
Dodin O.
6-3 2-6 6-3
Rus A.
Dodin O.
6262
Rus A.
3631

Oceane Dodin defeated Arantxa Rus in the Round of 32 at the W75 Ourense tournament, winning 6-3, 2-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Dodin served eight aces to Rus' three and converted 43% of her break points, while Rus converted 50%. Dodin won the match with three service breaks to Rus' two.

Key context

  • Match story: Oceane Dodin closed it out in three sets, 6–3 2–6 6–3.

Head to head

1–0
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-03-18MiamiR64hardOceane Dodin6-4 3-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
Dodin O.Rus A.
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
75%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
57%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
42%
Service points won·Even
56%
53%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
46%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
52%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
1.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.2
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Dodin O.Rus A.
Clutch Rating·Even
3
0
Break points saved·Slight edge
16
10
Break points won·Even
30
27
Deciding sets·Clear edge
19
1
Tiebreaks·Dominant
32
0

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Dodin O.61%
Rus A.39%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Dodin O. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Dodin O.
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Rus A.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+12 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1502
5.3Overall Elo 1539
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1511
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.34 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.05 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Surface transition
6.0Clay → Hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw