Stefano Travaglia vs Matej DodigHagen Round of 32

Hagen · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#140ATP
1570ELO
1528Clay ELO
$177kYTD
$2.8MCAREER
34 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLLWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 4 August 2026 ·
clay
MARK E POWER COURT · 4th on
#251ATP
1461ELO
1430Clay ELO
21 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLLW
Travaglia S.
5-7 3-6
Dodig M.
Travaglia S.
530
Dodig M.
762

Matej Dodig defeated Stefano Travaglia in the Round of 32 at the Hagen tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-3. Dodig hit 4 aces and no double faults, while Travaglia had 3 aces and 1 double fault. Dodig converted 20% of break points and won 2 service breaks to Travaglia's 0.

Key context

  • Match story: Matej Dodig closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
61%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.7
4.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
38
33
Break points saved·Slight edge
71
76
Break points won·Dominant
41
3
Deciding sets·Dominant
76
47
Tiebreaks·Dominant
4
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Travaglia S.58%
Dodig M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.2+98 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1430
6.4Overall Elo 1570
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1461
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
2.93 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.46 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
95
81

Travaglia S.: 8 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dodig M.: 4 days rest · 3 matches, 41 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
31°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw